The Lurie Group
San Francisco Bay Area Migration

San Francisco Bay Area Migration

  • Alexander Lurie
  • March 21, 2023

Moving Within, Into & Out of the Bay Area

Generally speaking, per the latest U.S. Census data, looking at the San Francisco Bay Area:*

Typically, about half of movers within and into a county moved within the same county. The majority
of those moving in from out of county was usually from another Bay Area county or a CA county
outside the Bay Area. The remainder came from another state or from abroad. There was significant,
often two-way, movement of residents between Bay Area counties, with counties one step further
out, and with Southern California (L.A. County to San Diego County, a huge population center). Some
local counties saw high levels of immigration from abroad, most commonly from Asia and Europe.

When residents move out of a Bay Area county, about two thirds typically relocated to another
California county, in most cases to an adjacent county or the next one over, which may offer
significantly more affordable housing and/or provide distinct changes in social and physical
environments (urban, suburban or rural). The remaining third moved out of state, with 6 or 7 states
dominating Bay Area out-migration: Main characteristics include lower housing costs, lower or no
state income taxes, and in some cases, hosting large high-tech centers of their own.

Based upon more recent data published by the CA Dept. of Finance indicating population declines in
2021-2022, the percentage of Bay Area residents moving within the state has presumably declined
and the percentage moving out of state increased since the period of the latest census estimates.*
Population and migration data is still unsettled from the effects of the pandemic.

*County analyses are based upon the latest U.S. Census, 5-Year, 2016-2020 ACS estimates for county-to-
county migration published January 12, 2023. Census data typically features significant margins of error,
but presumed to be reliable as a broad illustration of population movement dynamics.

Cover of a Compass report on San Francisco Bay Area migration, with four cranes flying across a blue sky.

Infographic summarizing Bay Area migration patterns, with Census data notes and Compass branding.

Slide listing reasons people move between counties or out of state, including jobs, affordability, family, and environmental issues.

San Francisco migration infographic with blue bars showing where residents move from.

Chart of migration into San Mateo County, led by moves within the county at 44.3%.

Santa Clara County migration infographic with five blue bars, source percentages, migration notes, and Compass branding.

Chart of Alameda County migration: 50.1% of movers relocate within the county, with sources and destinations listed.

Contra Costa County migration infographic with a bar chart of where residents move from and lists of migration sources and destinations.

Infographic charts migration into Marin County, with origins, percentages, and common destinations for people moving out.

Sonoma County migration chart: 65.5% move within the county; 14.8% arrive from another Bay Area county.

Infographic showing Napa County migration sources and destinations, with a blue bar chart and Compass branding.

Solano County migration infographic with movement percentages, top source counties, and destinations for Bay Area residents leaving.

Infographic showing migration into Monterey County by origin, with leading sources and destinations listed.

Infographic showing migration into Santa Cruz County, with bar chart percentages and lists of origin counties and destinations.

Chart of migration into Sacramento County, with most moves occurring within the county and the Bay Area the largest outside source.

Compass real estate report disclaimer and wordmark.

Alexander Lurie smiling in a dark blazer and striped shirt.

Meet Alexander

Meet Alexander Lurie

Alexander Fromm Lurie is a highly accomplished San Francisco real estate professional and the leader of The Lurie Group, a top-performing team recognized among the top 1% of agents in the city. With over a decade of experience in the real estate industry and California DRE License #01952347, Alexander has built a reputation for delivering exceptional results, with hundreds of homes sold and over $1 billion in total sales volume. Born and raised in San Francisco, he brings deep local expertise, generational knowledge of the Bay Area, and a strong connection to the community into every client relationship. His approach goes beyond transactions—focusing on helping clients build meaningful connections to neighborhoods, schools, and local culture while navigating the buying or selling process with confidence.

Alexander’s background in management consulting and entrepreneurship further strengthens his strategic approach to real estate, allowing him to provide clients with a competitive edge in pricing, negotiation, and marketing. Known for his integrity, discretion, and client-first mindset, he continues to be a trusted advisor for buyers, sellers, and investors across San Francisco’s dynamic real estate market.

Alexander Lurie

Founder | Real Estate Advisor
LICENSE NUMBER
01952347
ADDRESS
629 Divisadero Ave, San Francisco, CA 94117

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