The Lurie Group
Inflation, Interest Rates, and U.S. Supply and Demand Statistics

Inflation, Interest Rates, and U.S. Supply and Demand Statistics

  • Alexander Lurie
  • July 16, 2024
Inflation rates - both general and "core" readings - just dropped to their lowest points in over 3 years (though still above the Fed's target rate of 2%). 

Chart of U.S. CPI and core inflation rates by month, January 2021 to June 2024.

The average daily 30-year interest rate dropped on July 11th after the release of the new inflation readings. 

Chart of 30-year mortgage rates from February 2023 to July 2024, peaking above 8% in October 2023.

Long-term, weekly average 30-year interest rates:  

Chart of U.S. 30-year fixed mortgage rates from 1976 to 2024, peaking in 1981 and rising sharply after 2021.

Stock markets have been hitting new highs one after another in 2024 (though declining as of mid-day EST July 11th).

Chart comparing Nasdaq and S&P 500 gains from January 2023 to July 2024; Nasdaq finishes near 80%, S&P 500 near 47%.
For those interested in national-market context, below are a few new data points:

The daily number of U.S. active listings continues to climb, up 37% year-over-year in June, hitting the highest monthly count in 4 years. This is probably the most important dynamic in the national market today. 

Chart of U.S. active listings from 2016 to 2024, showing a post-2022 recovery and a 37% year-over-year increase in June 2024.

The number of national pending listings rose slightly on a year-over-year basis, but is being substantially outpaced by the increase in listings. 

Chart of U.S. monthly pending listings, January 2018–June 2024, showing the pandemic boom and subsequent decline.

The national number of price reductions has been increasing very rapidly in 2024, up 52% year over year in Q2. Most Bay Area markets have also seen substantial jumps in price reductions.

Chart of U.S. active-listing price reductions from 2018 to June 2024, with seasonal peaks and a 2024 increase.

The preliminary reading for the July Consumer Sentiment (or Confidence) Index was released last Friday, July 12th:  http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/ 
 
 
 


 
 
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Meet Alexander

Meet Alexander Lurie

Alexander Fromm Lurie is a highly accomplished San Francisco real estate professional and the leader of The Lurie Group, a top-performing team recognized among the top 1% of agents in the city. With over a decade of experience in the real estate industry and California DRE License #01952347, Alexander has built a reputation for delivering exceptional results, with hundreds of homes sold and over $1 billion in total sales volume. Born and raised in San Francisco, he brings deep local expertise, generational knowledge of the Bay Area, and a strong connection to the community into every client relationship. His approach goes beyond transactions—focusing on helping clients build meaningful connections to neighborhoods, schools, and local culture while navigating the buying or selling process with confidence.

Alexander’s background in management consulting and entrepreneurship further strengthens his strategic approach to real estate, allowing him to provide clients with a competitive edge in pricing, negotiation, and marketing. Known for his integrity, discretion, and client-first mindset, he continues to be a trusted advisor for buyers, sellers, and investors across San Francisco’s dynamic real estate market.

Alexander Lurie

Founder | Real Estate Advisor
LICENSE NUMBER
01952347
ADDRESS
629 Divisadero Ave, San Francisco, CA 94117

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